气候变化对水文影响评估中的几个热点问题
Several Key Issues in the Impact Evaluation of Climate Change on Hydrology

作者: 郭家力 , 陈 华 , 许崇育 :;

关键词: 气候变化水文水资源极值事件降尺度方法不确定性分析Climate Change Hydrology and Water Resources Extreme Event Downscaling Method Uncertainty Analysis

摘要: 全球气候变化对水文水资源的影响是各国政府和社会公众密切关注的热点问题。本文从近年来气候变化对水文水资源影响研究进展中提炼出几个越来越受到重视的热点问题,如极值事件、降尺度方法对比、气候变化影响评价中的不确定性等展开探讨,总结了目前国内外在以上三个方面的主要研究成果,并对其中存在的不足进行了展望。

Abstract: The impact of global climate change on hydrology and water resources has becoming a hot issue concerned by governments and the public of various countries. According to the shift of research pattern about climate change impact on hydrology and water resources in recent years, this paper proposed several key issues such as extreme events, comparative analysis of downscaling methods and uncertainty analysis, summarized the main research achievements at home and abroad in these areas, and pointed out the shortcomings between them.

文章引用: 郭家力 , 陈 华 , 许崇育 (2012) 气候变化对水文影响评估中的几个热点问题。 水资源研究, 1, 147-153. doi: 10.12677/JWRR.2012.13021

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