甘肃酒泉盆地主要气象要素变化趋势分析
Trend Analysis of the Meteorological Elements in the Ji-uquan Basin, Gansu

作者: 贾 宪 * , 沈 冰 * , 苏建伟 :西安理工大学西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室;

关键词: 酒泉盆地累积距平Mann-Kendall气温降水Jiuquan Basin Cumulative Anomaly Mann-Kendall Temperature Precipitation

摘要: 根据酒泉地面气象站1955~2004年历年逐月平均气温和逐月降水量资料,运用累积距平方法和Mann-Kendall方法进行酒泉盆地50a来气温和降水趋势和突变的分析。结果表明:酒泉盆地气温整体上呈一定的上升趋势,1955~1985年为缓慢的下降,1985年后出现了明显的上升趋势,而降水没有任何明显的趋势变化,波动较大且频繁。

Abstract:  Hydrological data series from 1955-2004 inthe Jiuquan basin were used to analyze the trend and mutation of temperature and precipitation Based on the cumulative anomaly and Mann-Kendall methods. The results show that the temperature in the Jiuquan basin as a whole is a certain upward trend with a slow decline between 1955-1985, then there have been a clear upward trend, while the precipitation don’t have apparent change trend with frequent and large fluctuations.

文章引用: 贾 宪 , 沈 冰 , 苏建伟 (2012) 甘肃酒泉盆地主要气象要素变化趋势分析。 水资源研究, 1, 497-500. doi: 10.12677/JWRR.2012.16080

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