基于图模型的复杂产品过程冲突研究
Research of the Process Conflict for Complex Product Based on Graph Model

作者: 韩雪山 , 徐海燕 , 廖创 , 王倩倩 :;

关键词: 图模型冲突分析不确定偏好复杂产品Graph Model Conflict Analysis Uncertainty Preference Complex Product

摘要: 为解决复杂产品研制中的过程冲突,建立了冲突分析的图模型。通过对决策者、策略、状态转移、不确定偏好的分析,从四种稳定性(Nash、GMR、SMR、SEQ)的定义出发寻求均衡解。以飞机在研制中的过程冲突为例,重点考虑了不确定偏好下的均衡解,并且预测了整个冲突事态的演变趋势,从而验证了模型的有效性。为决策者对整个冲突事态的掌控提供了重要的决策依据。

Abstract: To solve process conflict in the development of complex product, the graph model for conflict resolution was established. By analyzing decision makers, policy, state transition, and preference uncertainty, equibria based on the four definitions of stability (Nash, GMR, SMR, and SEQ) are calculated. Illustrative example of process conflict for manufacture of airplanes focuses on equibrium solution under the uncertain preferences, and forecasts the evolution of the whole conflict. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the graph model. It provides important basis for policy makers to control the whole conflict situation.

文章引用: 韩雪山 , 徐海燕 , 廖创 , 王倩倩 (2012) 基于图模型的复杂产品过程冲突研究。 现代管理, 2, 39-44. doi: 10.12677/mm.2012.21008

参考文献

[1] 徐路宁, 张和明, 张永康. 复杂产品的多领域协同设计[J]. 江苏大学学报, 2004, 25(5): 376-379.

[2] 康凯, 张志颖, 王世通. 协作运营冲突协调模型与求解方案[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2008, 28(1): 84-89.

[3] 孟秀丽, 易红, 倪中华. 基于模糊评价的协同设计冲突仲裁技术研究[J]. 计算机集成制造系统, 2005, 11(3): 399-404.

[4] J. V. Nemann, O. Morgenstern. Theory of games and ecomomics behavior. Princeton: Princeton Press, 1994.

[5] N. Howard. Paradoxes of rationality: Theory of metagames and political behaviour. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1971.

[6] D. M. Kilgour, K. W. Hipel and L. Fang. The graph model for conflicts. Automatica, 1987, 23(1): 41-55.

[7] L. Fang, K. W. Hipel and D. M. Kilgour. Interactive decision making: The graph model for conflict resolution. New York: Wiley, 1993.

[8] A. Obeidi, K. W. Hipel and D. M. Kilgour. Canadian bulk water exports: Analyzing the sun belt conflict using the graph model for conflict resolution. Knowledge, Technology, and Policy, 2002, 14 (4): 145-163.

[9] K. W. Hipel, D. M. Kilgour, L. Fang and X. Peng. Strategic deci- sion support for the services industry. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2001, 48(3): 358-369.

[10] D. M. Kilgour, K. W. Hipel, L. Fang and X. Peng. Applying the decision support system GMCR II to peace operations. Cornwallis Park: Canadian Peacekeeping Press, 1998.

[11] K. W. Li, K. W. Hipel. Preference uncertainty in the graph model for conflict resolution. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics—Part A: Systems and Humans, 2004, 34(4): 507- 520.

[12] L. Hamouda, D. M. Kilgour and K. W. Hipel. Strength of preference in the graph model for conflict resolution graoup. Group Decision and Negotiation, 2004, 13: 449-462.

[13] K.W. Li, D. M. Kilgour and K. W. Hipel. Status quo analysis in the graph model for conflict resolution. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2005, 56(6): 699-707.

[14] H. Y. Xu, K. W. Li and K. W. Hipel. A matrix approach to status quo analysis in the graph model for conflict resolution. Applied Mathematics and Compution, 2009, 212(2): 470-480.

分享
Top