﻿ 基于ARIMA模型的中国老龄化人口预测研究

# 基于ARIMA模型的中国老龄化人口预测研究Research on the Prediction of China’s Aging Population Based on ARIMA Model

Abstract: With the Chinese people’s living standards achieving a well-off level, the spiritual material is fur-ther protected, and the average life expectancy is extended gradually. Hence aging population appears inevitably, and other problems emerge with it. It is quite a challenge for a developing country, which is very difficult to deal with. In this paper, the ARIMA model is used to forecast the China’s aging population in a short term. We can find that the current situation of China’s population ageing is quite severe, and some policy suggestions are proposed aimed at solving the social problems currently produced from China’s aging population.

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