我国海洋经济发展规律分析及产业结构变化预测
Development Tendency Analysis and Industrial Structure Change Forecast of Chinese Marine Economic
作者: 杨蔚皎 ：中国海洋大学，青岛;
关键词: 海洋经济预测； 成长曲线法； 海洋产业结构； Marine Economic Forecast； Growth Curve Approach； Marine Industrial Structure
摘要:Abstract: China has long coastline, abundant marine natural resources, and also has a long history of marine economy based on the stable mainland economy and regional economy in the coastal. In recent years, the development tendency of Chinese marine economy keeps increasing steadily. In this ar-ticle, through analyzing the changes of the gross marine economy output value, added value and the change law of marine industrial structure of China from 1996 to 2013, the tendency of Chinese marine industrial structure development in 2020 is predicted by the methods of “growth curve approach” and “industry life cycle theory”. Compared with the developed countries, it is believed that China should continue to intensify marine economy development, thereby maintain increasing steadily of gross marine economy output value, and optimize the marine industrial structure further.
文章引用: 杨蔚皎 (2015) 我国海洋经济发展规律分析及产业结构变化预测。 可持续发展， 5， 1-8. doi: 10.12677/SD.2015.51001
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