﻿ 发输电组合系统可靠性随系统负荷变化的规律研究

# 发输电组合系统可靠性随系统负荷变化的规律研究Study on the Reliability Variation of Generation and Transmission System with Load Rate

Abstract: The rules between the reliability indices of generation and transmission system, such as: LOLP (loss of load probability), LOLF (loss of load frequency), EENS (expected energy not supplied), and the system load are analyzed. The relationship model between the power system reliability and system load rate is modeled using cubic spline interpolation, and the model can be solved according to the interpolation boundary conditions, the interpolation points and derivative information. Therefore, a fast evaluation technique based on the proposed model for the reliability of power systems can be obtained, which can avoid the duplication of reliability evaluation with multi-load levels. The proposed model is applied to the RBTS system. Results indicate that the relationship between the system reliability and load rate is non-linear variation. The average error for the evaluation on the reliability in these cases is about 2.0% when the load changes.

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