The Impacts of Animal Products Prices Fluctuations on the Economic Relations of Urban and Rural Areas—Based on the Partially Closed Price Model of Input-Output Method
作者: 李梦思 ：中国传媒大学理工学部理学院统计学系，北京;
Abstract: Based on the partially closed price Model, we used the urban and rural input-output table with 73 departments of 2007 to quantify the impact of animal products price fluctuations on national economy, the relevant departments’ product price fluctuation and urban-rural residents’ consumption. The main results are as follows: (1) From 2007 to 2013, the annual average of CPI caused by animal products price fluctuations was 0.54%, which accounted for 19.34% of the real annual average of CPI. Animal products price fluctuations are potential reasons for inflation. At the same time, the increase of GDP caused by the fluctuations accounted for 4.18% of the real increase of GDP, animal products prices through cost-driven effect to affect GDP; (2) To remove the impact of its price fluctuations on itself, the planting industry was affected mostly in various industries; (3) With the rising of animal products prices, the consumption and remuneration for workers of urban and rural residents increased at the same time. But the increase of the consumer spending was higher than the increase of the remuneration for workers; both urban and rural residents’ net incomes have the trend of decrease. The decrease of urban residents’ net income was 1.22% more than the decrease of rural residents’ net income.
文章引用: 李梦思 (2014) 畜产品价格波动对城乡经济关系的影响—基于价格影响局部闭模型。 统计学与应用， 3， 91-98. doi: 10.12677/SA.2014.32013
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