某高校教学主楼能源使用现状及节能潜力分析
Analysis on Energy Consumption and Energy-Saving Potential of the Main Teaching Building of a University in Beijing

作者: 索晨霞 , 张志慧 :北京石油化工学院经管学院,北京; 杨 勇 :浙江工商大学数理统计学院,杭州; SolvangWei Deng :纳尔维克工学院,纳尔维克,挪威;

关键词: 教学楼能源消耗情景分析法IPAT方程Office Building Energy Consumption Scenario Analysis Method IPAT Equation

摘要:
建筑节能改造是解决能源短缺的有效办法。本文使用情景分析法及IPAT 方程对某高校主教学楼的能源消耗进行三种情况的预测,通过比较现状与预测情况的差距,得出某高校主教学楼的建筑节能潜力。在此案例的基础上提出中国高校建筑设计的建议和未来建筑节能的展望。

Abstract: The energy-saving transformation of buildings is an effective way to solve the energy shortage. The paper forecasts three situations about the energy consumption of the main teaching building of a university by using the scenario analysis method and IPAT equation and reaches the energy- saving potential of the main teaching building of the university through comparing the gap between the current situation and forecasting situations. Based on the case, the paper puts forward suggestions for the architectural design of Chinese colleges and universities and the prospect for the future building energy efficiency.

文章引用: 索晨霞 , 杨 勇 , 张志慧 , SolvangWei Deng (2014) 某高校教学主楼能源使用现状及节能潜力分析。 管理科学与工程, 3, 57-64. doi: 10.12677/MSE.2014.32008

参考文献

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[2] 于红霞, 钱荣 (2006) 解读未来发展不确定性的情景分析法. 未来与发展, 2, 12-15.

[3] 宗蓓华 (1994) 战略预测中的情景分析法. 预测, 2, 50-55.

[4] Lee Gilbert, A. (2000) Using Multiple Scenario Analysis to Map the Competitive Futurescape: A Prac-tice-based Perspective. Competitive Intelligence Review, 11, 12-19.

[5] 徐伟, 邹瑜 (2010) 公共建筑节能改造技术指南. 中国建筑工业出版社, 北京.

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