﻿ 交互熵法在洪水频率分布参数估计中的应用研究

# 交互熵法在洪水频率分布参数估计中的应用研究An Application of Cross Entropy Method to the Parameter Estimation in Flood Frequency Analysis

Abstract: This paper studies on the application of fractile constrained cross-entropy to the estimation of dis- tribution parameters in flood frequency analysis. Based on the principle of minimum cross-entropy, two annual maximum flood peak series respectively in Feather River in Canada and Zhangcunyi Station in north- ern Shaanxi province with Gumbel distribution and Gamma distribution were employed to the parameter estimation of the four distribution functions. Four frequency curves with the estimated parameters were also plotted. Then, comparing the calculated cross-entropy values with those that are derived by traditional methods- MOM and MLM, it turned out that: by using cross entropy method, we got the minimum cross entropy values. The plotted theoretical frequency curves fit well with the empirical frequency curves. So, we can conclude that the quantile constrained cross-entropy method has the considerable merit in the flood frequency parameter estimation and is superior to the traditional methods-MOM and MLM.

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