扎鲁特旗近 60 年气温变化趋势与突变分析
Trend Detection and Abrupt Analysis in Annual Temperature during the Recent 60 Years in Jarud
Abstract: Based on the observation data of air temperature in Jarud from 1953 to 2011, the methods of climatic tendency and Mann-Kendall test are used to analyze the temperature change of Jarud. The results show that the annual average temperature, maximum and minimum temperature in Jarud showed an upward trend, of which the linear tendency rate was 0.439, 0.258 and 0.546 respectively. The increasing trend in minimum temperature was more significant than that in mean temperature and maximum temperature. There was obvious annual variation in average mean temperature, maximum and minimum temperature. The abrupt change point of annual mean temperature, maximum and minimum temperature in Jarud appeared mainly in 1987, 1990 and 1982.
文章引用: 春 花 , 阿拉腾图雅 , 伊如汗 , 乌日古木拉 (2013) 扎鲁特旗近 60 年气温变化趋势与突变分析。 气候变化研究快报， 2， 165-168. doi: 10.12677/CCRL.2013.24028
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