Vol.2 No.1 (March 2012)
New Load Density Forecasting Method for Objective Network Planning
There are some problems such as various uncertain factors, a lot of spatial data are required, and the vast amount of work in the conventional forecasting methods. So proposed a new load density forecasting method for objec-tive network planning which based on the city’s objective planning identified by the nature of land area that can reduce the uncertainty of land area. Using this method to processing the collected data of the Zhongshan perspective land area and a large number of load information supplied by Zhongshan Power Supply Bureau, which can eliminate the conven-tional forecasting methods’ uncertainty in line with land area. The uncertainty of land area was locked in each load den-sity, and comparing and anglicizing this forecasting method with the horizontal comparison method, and forecasted the level of forecasting electricity and load spatial distribution forecasting for Zhongshan. The results showed that it sig-nificantly reduced the load forecast uncertainty factors and improved the accuracy of load forecasting.
王晓侃 (2012) 一种适应于目标网架规划的负荷密度预测新方法。 智能电网， 2， 25-29. doi: 10.12677/sg.2012.21005
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